Abstract
Since the launch of broad economic reforms in 2016, Uzbekistan has experienced a rapid expansion in foreign direct investment (FDI), driven by liberalization policies, sectoral diversification, and integration into global markets. FDI inflows rose from USD 1.8 billion in 2016 to USD 7.2 billion in 2023, with projections indicating continued double-digit growth through 2025. This article examines how foreign investments have reshaped Uzbekistan’s economy across key sectors—manufacturing, energy, ICT, and services—and evaluates their contribution to output growth, productivity gains, and export diversification. Using regional data and sectoral regressions, the study finds that high-quality, technology-intensive FDI has strengthened industrial output, expanded employment opportunities, and improved export competitiveness. However, sectoral imbalances and limited local linkages remain challenges. The paper concludes with policy recommendations to deepen the developmental impact of foreign investments through inclusive and innovation-oriented strategies.
References
1. Alfaro, L. (2017). Gains from Foreign Direct Investment: Macro and Micro Approaches. World Bank Economic Review.
2. Borensztein, E., De Gregorio, J., & Lee, J-W. (1998). How Does Foreign Direct Investment Affect Economic Growth? Journal of International Economics.
3. Central Bank of Uzbekistan. (2025). Balance-of-Payments Bulletin Q4-2024.
4. Kheyfets, B. & Chetverikova, A. (2019). FDI in the Eurasian Economic Union: Structure and Development Trends. Journal of Eurasian Studies.
5. IMF. (2025). Uzbekistan: Staff Concluding Statement of the 2025 Article IV Mission.
6. State Department. (2024). Investment Climate Statement: Uzbekistan.
7. UNCTADstat. (2024). FDI Stock and Flow by Sector.
8. World Bank. (2024). World Development Indicators – FDI Net Inflows (% of GDP).