Vol. 3 No. 3 (2026), Articles
Vol. 3 No. 3 (2026)

O'ZBEKISTONDA ISH HAQI VA MEHNAT UNUMDORLIGI O'RTASIDAGI BOG'LIQLIKNING EKONOMETRIK TAHLILI: 2015–2025 YILLAR MA'LUMOTLARI ASOSIDA

Articles
Published 2026-05-28
Maxmudov Jaxongir Axmadjon o’g’li
Toshkent menejment va iqtisodiyot instituti o’qituvchisi
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Keywords

ish haqi, mehnat unumdorligi, OLS regressiyasi, Pearson korrelyatsiyasi, vaqt qatorlari, iqtisodiy o'sish, hududiy tengsizlik, O'zbekiston.

Abstract

Ushbu maqolada O'zbekistonda ish haqi va mehnat unumdorligi o'rtasidagi bog'liqlik 2015–2025 yillar dinamik vaqt qatorlari asosida ekonometrik usullar yordamida tadqiq etiladi. Pearson korrelyatsion tahlili r ≈ 0,98 qiymatini bergan bo'lib, bu o'zgaruvchilar o'rtasidagi juda kuchli ijobiy chiziqli bog'liqlikni tasdiqlaydi. Eng kichik kvadratlar (OLS) usuli yordamida qurilgan regressiya modeli: Ŷ = –1 500 + 0,32·X (R² = 0,97; F-statistika ≈ 800; p < 0,001). Natijalar shuni ko'rsatadiki, mehnat unumdorligi 1 ming so'm oshganda nominal ish haqi 320 so'mga ortadi. Biroq nominal ish haqi o'sishi inflyatsiya ta'sirida real unumdorlik o'sishidan 3–5 foiz punktga oshib ketishi hududiy tengsizlik va tarkibiy muvozanatsizlikni chuqurlashtirmoqda. Ish haqi siyosatini unumdorlik indeksiga bog'lash va mintaqaviy mehnat bozorlarini rivojlantirish ustuvor tavsiyalar sifatida taqdim etiladi.

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